Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article Release Issue: A974-W626

魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A974-W626

Release Date: December 3, 2016

发布日：2016年12月3日

Topic: The Presidential Election in the USA -- Wei Jingsheng

标题：美国大选 -- 魏京生

Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)

此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）

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The Presidential Election in the USA

-- Wei Jingsheng

The presidential election in the USA, which has attracted worldwide attention and concerns, has finally come to an end. It won such a large degree of attention because it is like a drama that continuously brings surprises after surprises. From start to end there was much that the people did not expect, which was a very good drama full of surprises.

It started with a surprise even at the beginning, when there was a socialist candidate who came out of the Democratic Party. In the political ideology of the United States, socialism would be only just better than the National Socialism of the Nazi's. At the first reaction, most people associate it with the Communist states. But not only did someone make it a campaign platform, it also became popular, all the way into the final stage of the campaign within the Democratic Party.

The other drama was even more eye-popping: a billionaire candidate came out of the Republican Party who wanted to speak for the poor. But he has no political experience, with an image that well fits what the Chinese people call "Nouveau riche"; one who is used to talking nonsense because he has money. Although the Republican elite and news media absolutely dissed him, the results were that he was also very popular - he was able to overcome all the obstacles to reach the final stage of the campaign within the Republican Party.

At the beginning, everyone was not optimistic about these two non-mainstream candidates. Even the people and analysts who liked and supported them were not optimistic about them. They thought these two candidates are just like supporting actor roles, providing some extra spice for the drama to continue with their official leading roles.

Sure enough, under the attack of conspiracy and machinations within the black box operated by the political elite and the bigwigs, the Socialist Bernie Sanders of the Democratic Party had to exit. The senior stateswoman, former First Lady, former Senator, and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton won the party nomination, to run for the next president. It seems that politics was still running along the old track, and democracy continued to run against its voters.

Then another surprise appeared. The Republican elite and bigwigs put even more effort in an attempt to get rid of Trump, who really does not belong to the mainstream Republican Party. But they actually did not succeed. It seems all of Donald Trump's opponents had more political experience and better image and style than Trump, yet one by one they were defeated by this billionaire who seemingly had no hope. Is it that people really like their own kind of ordinary people? Why this was not discovered before?

What should have followed would have been the eloquent, experienced and well-funded Hillary Clinton easily defeating a civilian Nouveau riche Donald Trump who seems had difficulty to examine everything that came out of his mouth and also had a severe shortage of funding. People had so evaluated, including Trump's supporters. Very few public opinion polls were in favor of this "Nouveau riche" who had to take money out of his own pocket against all the other richmen and the news media. According to statistics, the newspaper endorsement count for the 2 candidates was 57 to 2 -- a huge gap.

On election day, as the vote counts had gone through half way, the supporters of the lady president were still confident in their media commentary. That was because these two rivals did not even match from any conventional conditions. But as the counts went further, the media started to change its face. Finally, Donald Trump won this election with an undisputed substantial lead, to become the forty-fifth president of the United States. The elite and bigwigs of both political parties were shocked, and could not react to the reality for a while.

On the other side of the Pacific Ocean the elite and bigwigs could not react to the reality for a while either. The elite and bigwigs of the Chinese Communist regime had wishfully predicted that Hillary Clinton would win because they like to deal with more modest and also more familiar adversaries. Even more, because a US President who receives unanimous support from the Wall Street will take better care of the common interests of Wall Street and the Chinese Communist regime. Donald Trump does not look that reliable to them.

For more than two decades, especially the past more than one decade, the economic downturn that the USA experienced has its cause in the unfair trade with China. This unfair trade that took away jobs of millions of Americans has not only fattened American capitalists, but also fattened China's bureaucratic capitalists and communist government, meanwhile making the Asia-Pacific region increasingly insecure. It is increasingly clear to the American people and a wish to change was the will of the majority of the people.

Barack Obama's slogan was "change" when he became President. Unfortunately, he did not do much. All sorts of reasons are right. The most important reason is that he belongs to the circle of political elite. The officials are friendly and protective of each other, so he could not do anything. This is the basic source of the difficult issues with dirty politics for thousands of years.

Now people are becoming more and more distrusting of the political elite. So when they select an outsider who does not belong to that elite class, in fact, it is very logical and nothing to be surprised about. Trump's advisors spotted the right remedy, and got the public support with this surprise move.

Will Trump honor his "change" slogan? This is a matter of concern to all. I guess he will, because a handful of elite dominating politics and sharing their interests does not keep in line with the basic principles of democratic politics. Under the conditions of one-party dictatorship, the Chinese people lost their rights, and have not gotten their chance to get them back.

But the United States has a mature democratic system, as well as voters who are responsible for their own rights. Usually it seems the media and money are very important and are playing decisive roles. But this system puts the ultimate right of choice in the hands of the people, and if not, as the last insurance according to the constitution, the people's right to take up arms against tyranny.

What happens in China when the Communist Party takes a monopoly of all resources and thus is free to misbehave will not work in the United States. The most fundamental reason is that in the hands of the most vulnerable people lies the final decision. The elite can fool the people sometimes, but it is impossible to fool the people forever. Once the people wake up, there will not be other resources as good as the votes in the hands of the people. This is the fundamental reason why democratic system is strong. Only in this kind of system, the rights and interests of ordinary people can be guaranteed.

As to what extent Trump fulfills his promise, I am not worried. That is because the reform of the unreasonable and unfair trade rules is what is in people's minds and will be carried out. Such reform is disadvantageous to the very few Chinese and American rich people, but will be beneficial to the majority of the population in both China and the United States. Why not? Trump himself is not short of money, so the possibility of be bought out by Wall Street is much smaller. This is an important condition for the people who are optimistic about his reform.

Why have not we seen such a figure in China? The Chinese people need even more of such people to protect their rights and interests. The difference here is the lack of a democratic system, and whether the people will have the responsibility to use this system.

To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:

http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2016/WeiJS161109onUSpresidentialelection.mp3

(Written and recorded on November 9, 2016. Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia.)

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中文版

Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article Release Issue: A974-W626

魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A974-W626

Release Date: December 3, 2016

发布日：2016年12月3日

Topic: The Presidential Election in the USA -- Wei Jingsheng

标题：美国大选 -- 魏京生

Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)

此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）

如有中文乱码问题，请与我们联系或访问:

http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2016/report2016-12/WeiJS161203onUSpresidentialelectionA974-W626.htm

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美国大选

-- 魏京生

万众瞩目或者说全世界都关注的本次美国大选，终于落下了帷幕。获得了如此大的关注度，是因为它就像一出戏剧一样，不断给人们带来惊奇或者惊喜。从头到尾都让人们意想不到，是一出挺不错的惊喜剧。

一开始就让人拍案惊奇：民主党出了一个社会主义者，在美国的社会意识形态里，社会主义仅次于纳粹的社会主义。大多数人都会在第一时间联想到共产党国家。可是不但有人提出它作为竞选纲领，而且还颇受欢迎，一路进入了党内竞选的最后阶段。

二开始更让人大跌眼镜：共和党出了个亿万富翁，要为穷人说话。但他却毫无从政的经验，形象就是个中国人说的土豪，习惯于仗着有钱乱说话。虽然共和党精英大佬和媒体绝对排斥他，结果也很受欢迎，一路斩关夺将进入了党内竞选的最后阶段。

开始大家对这两个另类都不看好，民众和分析家们即使喜欢和支持他们的人，也不看好。认为他们只不过是陪绑的样子货，赚得一些起哄架秧子的热闹，下边还得要正牌儿角色把戏演下去。

果然，在政治精英和党内大佬们的黑箱操作阴谋诡计攻势下，民主党的社会主义者桑德斯黯然退场了。老牌政治家、前总统夫人、前参议员、前国务卿希拉里?克林顿获得了党内提名，出线竞选下一届总统。似乎政治还是沿着旧轨道正常运行着，民主继续和它的选民背道而驰。

又一个惊奇出现了。共和党的精英和大佬们，更加努力地公开企图搞掉另类的川普。居然没有得逞。按理说川普的对手在政治经验和形象风度上都比川普强，可是一个一个的都败在了看上去没希望的亿万富翁手下。难道说老百姓真的喜欢和自己一样粗鲁的普通人吗？以前为什么没发现呢？

接下来就该是伶牙俐齿、经验丰富而且经费充足的希拉里，轻松击败嘴上没有把门的而且经费严重不足的平民富翁川普。大家都是这样估计的，包括支持川普的人，也很少有人看好不得不自掏腰包对抗全体富翁和媒体的土豪。据统计两人的媒体支持率是57：2，非常悬殊。

票投到一半，女总统的支持者们还在媒体评论上信心十足，因为从任何常规条件上看，俩人都不是对手。但是投着投着，媒体的脸色就变难看了。最后川普以无可争议的大幅度领先优势赢得了这次大选，成为美国第四十五任总统。两党的精英和大佬们惊呆了，半天都缓不过劲来。

太平洋另一边的精英和大佬们也半天缓不过劲来。中共的精英大佬们一厢情愿地预计克林顿会赢，因为他们喜欢和比较温和也比较熟悉的对手打交道。更因为受到华尔街一致支持的总统，会更好地照顾华尔街和中共的共同利益。川普看上去不那么可靠。

美国二十多年来，特别是十几年来的经济下滑，祸根就是和中国的不公平的贸易。这个不公平的贸易夺走了几百万美国人的工作机会，不但养肥了美国资本家，更加养肥了中国的官僚资本家和共产党政府，并且使得亚洲太平洋地区变得越来越不安全。对这些美国人民看得越来越清楚了，希望变革是大多数人民的愿望。

奥巴马上台的口号就是变革，遗憾的是他什么也没作。各种理由都对，最重要的理由是他属于政治精英的圈子。官官相护一团和气，他什么也不能作。这正是几千年来政治不干净等等难题的基本来源。

现在人们对政治精英阶层的不信任感越来越强，选出一个不属于精英阶层的圈外人，其实非常合乎逻辑，没什么好惊奇的。川普的智囊圈子看准了这一点对症下药，出奇制胜获得了大众的支持。

川普的变革口号会不会兑现呢？这是所有人关心的问题。我估计肯定会。因为一小撮精英把持政治，利益交换，这不符合民主政治的基本原则。在一党专政的条件下，中国人民一不小心就丢掉了自己的权利。然后就没机会扳回这一局了。

但是美国有成熟的民主制度，而且有对自身权利负责任的选民。平时看起来媒体、金钱很重要，似乎起着决定性的作用。但是这个制度把最终的选择权放在了人民的手中，不行的话还有最后一道保险：宪法赋予人民拿起武器反抗暴政的权利。

像共产党那样垄断了一切资源就可以胡作非为，在美国行不通。最根本的原因就是最弱势的人民，手中拥有最终的决定权。精英们可以忽悠老百姓于一时，不可能忽悠老百姓一世。老百姓一旦醒悟过来，其它任何资源都不如老百姓手中的选票管用。这就是民主制度之所以强大的根本原因。老百姓的权利和利益只有在这种制度下才能够有所保障。

至于川普能够在多大程度上兑现他的诺言，我不担心。因为变革不合理的、不公平的贸易规则，是民心所向，势所必至。对占人口极少数的中美富翁们不利，但对占人口绝大多数的中美人民有利。何乐而不为呢？川普自己不缺钱花，被华尔街收买的可能性很小。这也是人民看好他能进行改革的重要条件。

在中国为什么出不了这样的人物呢？中国人民更需要这样的人物来保障他们的权利和利益。这里边的差别就在于有没有民主制度，和有责任心来运用这个制度的人民。