Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article Release Issue: A1042-W680

魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1042-W680

Release Date: August 27, 2017

发布日：2017年8月27日

Topic: The War Crisis in China -- Wei Jingsheng

标题：中国的战争危机 -- 魏京生

Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)

此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）

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The War Crisis in China

-- Wei Jingsheng

Now China's military fans and "angry youths" have put most of their attention on the Sino-Indian border dispute. As usual, they cried and shouted to destroy India in a few weeks, and so on. But they seem to forget that there is a greater threat on the other side, the nuclear weapons in North Korea and the United States getting more and more close to its determination to destroy them.

The reason that they seem to forget North Korea at least in part due to the fact that they dare to offend the gentleman but not the villain. This proves the internal cowardice of these "angry youths" who do not take resposibility for what they say. When you are making a rational argument with them, they will be really angry; but when they face the real rogue, some of them will greet him with smiles, while others simply flatter, saying something like "brothers belong to one family".

Of course, there are some that simply take the benefit of others, and thus do not dare to speak against the others. Although India is also very corrupt, in the end it has a big difference with China because it failed to enter the same corrupt circles of Chinese officialdom. So these "angry youths" are naturally not afraid of offending whoever, and would just say whatever they like.

But now it is the Chinese Communist leaders meeting in Beidaihe who are a bit disoriented. Both sides have a crisis, but it is impossible to fight on both sides. All the money from the Kim family in North Korea now comes to a critical moment in play. Therefore, they are deciding they must convince the muddle-minded Xi Jinping to defend the young Kim Jong-un while withholding pressure from the United States. From the remarks by that dull Chinese Foreign Minister, you can see some clues.

I guess that their reason to persuade Xi Jinping was: Do not force the young Kim Jong-un too much, otherwise his nuclear weapons may not be able to hit the United States but can hit China. The United States wants to fight against North Korea, so we may just sit on the mountain and watch the tigers fighting against each other, although we do not rule out picking up the matured peaches after they have ripened themselves. This is very clear when we noticed that Xi Jinping did not really follow the United Nations resolution that he voted in favor of.

It is impossible for China to help Kim Jong-un, which was made clear by the monthpiece of the Chinese Communist regime. Because all the weak leaders of the Chinese Communist Party understand that there is no ability to fight the United States again. In this issue they are sober and will not be fooled by these "angry youths". Not only would they certainly be defeated by the United States when a war broken out, but the Chinese economy will collapse, thus the death of the Communist regime in China. They do have enough cleverness regarding this.

Unfortunately, the level of their think tanks is only to the level of these Internet "angry youths." They do not know the situation has changed and do not know that this moment is not the same as the last moment. What a humiliation to the Chinse wisdom of more than two thousand years. The era of Kim Il-sung and Kim Jong-il acting as little brothers of the Chinese Communist Party with a willingness to play the bastard in East Asia has gone. A crazy child who was protected too well and does not know danger, yet has nuclear weapons in his hands, hates most of the adults who tried to discipline him.

Why have the several governments of the South Korea in the past several decades rather spent a lot of money to use the sunshine policy to feed this rogue regime? Verbally they said that the same nation should not kill one another. But who really believe it besides the elder women who like to watch soap TV series of love on their beds? If we watch the TV series about the mafia from Hong Kong, then we know that it is the head of the mafia who is threatened first when the little brother in the gang grows strong. Specifically, when North Korea is well fed with money, especially when it has nuclear weapons, its first threat was against China.

As Kim Jong-un's anger against his northern neighbor reached to the degree of being unable to cover up, the eunuchs around Xi Jinping still trick him into thinking that he still posses the qualification of a master in an attempt to limit the behavior of Kim Jong-un. This kind of story has been repeated many times in history -- every time the consequences were chaos and the people lost homes and were displaced. With the nuclear weapons as additions, the consequences are unbearable.

We do not expect Xi Jinping and his eunuchs have high IQs. As long as they study the cases of successful Mafia bosses in Hong Kong, they should know how to deal with a little brother now grown big. In that case, the successful Mafia bosses would rather to join hands with their opponents of the past on the premise of deviding the loot to get rid of the little brother with ambition. Thus, they were able to return a peaceful world to everyone. Otherwise, waiting for the United States to start alone, the merger of the younger brothers of the North and the South will be an even tougher and more powerful opponent.

Will the United States agree? It depends on what conditions you have given. Would South Korea agree? Of course. Can not we see after so many years? What South Koreans are worried most about are the tens of millions of poor people who were brain washed. They are anxious to have some country willing to accept these poor people, instead of becoming a disaster for South Koreans. This is why the United States has hesitated to start taking action. South Korea has repeatedly hindered the strikes against the nuclear weapons of Kim Jong-un because it has not found shelters for those tens of millions of poor people who were brain washed. Is not this the chance for China?

Of course, for China, these tens of millions of extremely evil refugees are indeed a headache as well. So, is it better to let them flee to China, or stay on the peninsula and accept relief? This is a matter of takinng the lesser of two evils. Is it easier to destroy a madman? Or better to wait until he has thrown dozens of nuclear warheads into China? This is also a matter of taking the lesser of two evils. If you really wait until then, then the United States and South Korea will certainly be sitting on the mountain and watching the tigers fighting against each other. Because the result is certainly that the Chinese Communist regime and the Kim regime will die together. However, the people of both China and North Korea will suffer. This is what I do not want to see.

When China and the USA join hands to eliminate the madman regime of North Korea, it is to help the United States and South Korea to reduce their burdens. The United States certainly will be willing, but not necessarily the South Koreans. They will pretend to take the morals of Confucians, in the name of "Koreans do not fight against Koreans", and so on, and then to lay out conditions for the United States and China. The Koreans certainly have the mentality of "wanting to eat fish, but also not wanting to be stained with fishy smell"; that is they want to take advantage yet not want to pay the price. This is an immature mentality of this nation.

Then it maybe best to simply to let North Korea to manage on its own, provided that it completely eliminates all possibilities of its development of nuclear weapons, including nuclear materials, equipment and personnel. This must be completed under international supervision, and then China will withdraw it troops. China should also demand them to be responsible for the financial expenses of the refugee relief and the military spending consumed by China. Certainly, this solution is also acceptable by the United States -- the United States does not mind that little selfishness of the South Korea.

Regarding India, there was nothing but a self-disturbance by Xi Jinping. If war indeed broke out, it would be a tough bone to chew on. The military of India is several times that of North Korea. And China lacks an adventage of the time, the place and the people, which is a tough bone with little meat to chew on. So it would be better to give face to the United States -- ask it to mediate the dispute between China and India, and then focus on solving the hidden danger which is more damaging.

To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:

http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2017/WeiJS170815onWarCrisis.mp3

(Written on August 13 and recorded on August 15, 2017. Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia.)

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中文版

Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article Release Issue: A1042-W680

魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1042-W680

Release Date: August 27, 2017

发布日：2017年8月27日

Topic: The War Crisis in China -- Wei Jingsheng

标题：中国的战争危机 -- 魏京生

Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)

此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）

如有中文乱码问题，请与我们联系或访问：

http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2017/report2017-08/WeiJS170827onWarCrisisA1042-W680.htm

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中国的战争危机

-- 魏京生

现在中国的军迷和愤青们，大多数的注意力都在中印边界争端上。和往常一样，他们哭着喊着要几个星期就灭了它，如何如何。却忘了还有另一边的更大的威胁，朝鲜核武器和美国越来越接近下决心要灭了它。

之所以都把朝鲜给忘了，至少有一部分原因是敢得罪君子而不敢得罪小人。这证明了反正说话不用负责任的愤青们内心的怯懦，软骨头性格。你讲理，他就给你愤得不行；而面对真正的流氓，有些笑脸相迎，有些干脆就谄媚，说什么兄弟一家亲。

当然了，还有一些干脆就是拿了人家的好处，吃人家嘴短了。印度虽然也挺腐败，但终究离得远，差别大，没能进入到中国官场的腐败圈子。所以愤青们自然就不怕得罪谁了，甩开腮帮子可劲儿的喷吧。爽了一把是一把，不爽白不爽。

可是正在北戴河开会的党国大员们，就有点儿晕头转向了。两面都有危机，但两面作战是不可能的。金家多年来使了那么多银子不是白给的，现在是关键时刻了，一定要说服糊里糊涂的小习，挺住美国的压力死保金三胖。从那个呆头呆脑的外长的言谈里，可以看出些端倪。

估计他们说服小习的理由是：不能把金三逼得太狠，否则核武器打不到美国可是能打到中国。美国要打北朝鲜，我们正好坐山观虎斗，不排除事后摘桃子检点便宜。这从小习对自己投票赞成的联合国决议阳奉阴违，可以看得很清楚。

帮助金三胖是不可能的，这个中共的喉舌已经讲得很清楚了。因为自知虚弱的中共领袖们都明白，没有能力和美国再打一仗。在这个问题上他们很清醒，不会被愤青们所忽悠。和美国开战不但肯定战败，而且经济会垮，中共也就寿终正寝了。这点聪明他们还有。

可惜他们这帮智囊的水平，也就到网络愤青的水平为止了。不知道形势已经发生了变化；不知道此一时也彼一时也，这真是对两千多年中华智慧的羞辱。金一金二时代他们甘愿充当中共小兄弟，在东亚地区扮演小混蛋的那个时代已经一去不复返了。被保护得太好不知凶险，却手握核武器的疯孩子，首先仇恨的就是管教他的长辈。

韩国几十年来的几任政府，为什么宁愿用阳光政策花钱养着这个流氓政权呢？口头上说的是同一个民族不要互相残杀，除了炕头上喜欢爱情剧的大妈之外，有谁真的相信呢？看看香港黑帮剧就知道：小弟强大了第一个威胁的就是他的老大。具体说，花钱养肥了北朝鲜；特别是一旦他有了核武器，最先威胁的就是中国。

在金三胖对北边的愤怒已经不可掩饰的情况下，小习周围的太监们还在忽悠他企图限制金三的行为，自以为还有当主子的资格。这种故事在历史上演出过很多次了，每一次的后果都是天下大乱，人民流离失所。现在还要加上核武器，后果不堪想象。

咱们不指望小习和他的太监们有多高的智商，只要学学香港黑社会成功的老大们，就知道该如何处理已经坐大的小弟了；不惜联合过去的对手，以分赃为前提搞掉野心爆棚的小弟。还大家一个太平天下。否则等美国单独下手，南北合并后的小弟，将会是另一个难缠的、更加强大的对手。

美国会同意吗？这要看你给什么条件了。韩国会同意吗？当然会。这么多年还看不出来吗？韩国人最担心的是那几千万被洗过脑的穷人。他们巴不得有人会接受他们，不要成为韩国人的灾难。这正是美国犹豫再三不敢动手的原因。韩国人一再阻挠打击金三的核武器，就因为没给那几千万被洗过脑的穷人找到收容所。这不就是中国的机会吗？

当然，对中国来说，这几千万穷凶极恶的难民确实也是个头疼的事。那么，是让他们逃到中国来，还是留在当地接受救济好呢？这是个两害相权取其轻的问题。是消灭一个疯子容易呢？还是等到他把几十颗核弹头扔到中国更好呢？这又是个两害相权取其轻的问题。如果真的耗到那个时候，美韩两国肯定也会坐山观虎斗。因为结果肯定是中共和金三胖同归于尽，但是中朝两国的老百姓就要遭殃了。这是我所不愿意看到的。

中美两国联合消灭北朝鲜的疯子政权，是帮助美韩两国减轻了负担，美国肯定愿意，但韩国就不一定了。他们一定会假装儒家道德，朝鲜人不打朝鲜人等等，然后和美中两国谈条件。因为韩国人肯定是既想吃鱼，又不想沾腥；即想占便宜，又不想付代价。这是这个民族不成熟的心态。

那就干脆把北朝鲜让给它自己管理，前提是彻底消除它研制核武器的所有可能，包括核材料、设备和人员。而且必须在国际监督下完成，然后中国撤军。并且要他们负责救济难民的财政支出，和中国消耗的军费。这样解决也是美国肯定愿意接受的，美国并不在乎韩国人那点小私心。

至于印度，那里本无事，小习自扰之，无事生非而已。而且真的动手，那可是个难啃的骨头，其军力是朝鲜的好几倍，而且天时、地利、人和都没有，绝对是个鸡肋形势。不如给美国一个面子，请它来调解中印的争端，然后集中精力解决好心腹之患。