Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1429-W1029

魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号:A1429-W1029

 

Release Date: November 20, 2021

发布日:20211120

 

Topic: Is the Sixth Plenary Session of the CCP 19th Congress Really That Satisfactory for Xi Jinping? -- Wei Jingsheng 

标题:习近平的六中全会真的那么如意吗? -- 魏京生

 

Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)

此号以中文为准(英文在前,中文在后)

 

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Is the Sixth Plenary Session of the CCP 19th Congress Really That Satisfactory for Xi Jinping?

-- Wei Jingsheng

 

 

After the Sixth Plenary Session of the 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), foreign media generally commented that Xi Jinping won a big victory and completed more comprehensive control, thus there is no suspense about his emperor dream to be realized at the CCP 20th National Congress next year, and so on.  Like previous predictions, it proves that these commentators have consistently scribbled on Chinese affairs and only study its surface without a deep understanding.

 

As a matter of fact, before and after the Sixth Plenary Session, Xi Jinping obtained if not the only, then one of the major compromises within the CCP, which was to issue a joint declaration with the United States at the Climate Conference.  This has cooled down the wolf worrier diplomacy that has failed for many years, which not only resulted in a compromise to the fierce internal public opinion, but also gave the Biden administration in the USA some face.  It also received a kind response from the White House, which can be said to gain a point.

 

As for whether it can coexist peacefully with the international community that is not a question for the CCP to fulfill as a promise.  People do not even care that much if Xi praises himself and belittles previous CCP leaders.  Anyway, fairness is in the hearts of the people.  As the whole China, even whole CCP scold at him, the issue cannot be concealed by bragging.  Although they give Xi a face on these vain questions, the contention is about substantive issues.

 

The first substantive issue is the energy issue.  Immediately after the 6th Plenary Session, there was criticism from the Mainland media that it was necessary to seek truth from facts in achieving the goal of carbon reduction, while remembering the lessons of the Great Leap Forward and the People’s Commune.  To translate: Don’t be fooled like Mao Zedong when he listens to the flattering scientists.  When Mao’s head got hot, he believed one Chinese acre (one Chinese acre is about 1/6 of a US acre) could produce tens of thousands Chinese pounds of food (one Chinese pound is ½ kilogram).  Xi’s dictatorship is not so wise.  Closing coal mines in China has led to power cuts with limited electricity, which has seriously affected the economy in China and Chinese people's livelihood.  This criticism is so powerful that Xi can only be speechless.

 

Even God would not cooperate with Xi’s wise misjudgment.  This winter came early, with heavy snowfall in the north already.  The emergency opening of closed coal mines has not been so fast, and temporary import orders have not been so timely.  The ordinary Chinese and the members of the CCP Central Committee have greatly experienced this wise decision of Emperor Xi.  The anti-Xi officials don’t have to laugh from behind, but can attack in front of his face, so that Xi really loses his face.  This is the so-called complete victory described by the foreign media, and even the so-called foundation for enthronement.

 

Is Xi Jinping smart?  Winning in the internal fight shows that he is not stupid.  But during the tide when the slogans of the leaders of major powers are slogans, and subsidies go to subsidies, Xi foolishly shuts down coal mines in China.  This shows that his cleverness does not cover where needed.  He is outstanding at infighting, but poor in governing, to the degree it can even be said to be mentally handicapped.  While the others were shouting slogans at the conference, they urged the world to increase energy production to ensure their economy.  This is called a duck paddling, as the movement is underwater only.  Or like the Prime Minister of India, who only agreed to reduce carbon when he was offered a trillion dollars in aid.  When Xi shut down coal mines in China for self-harm, no one even praised him for being foolish.

 

One can tell the autumn from a single leaf.  It is without a doubt that Emperor Xi’s dream ran into obstacles at this 6th Plenary Session.  This is obvious since the communiqué did not mention the term of office.  The last time Xi revised the Chinese Constitution for the president of the country he established an indefinite presidency.  This time around, he did not establish the infinite term for the CCP Secretary-General, which indicates that the struggle following will be even more cruel.  Xi may not be able to win in the game with reason, so he has to wipe out his opponents in a physical struggle.

 

In the past, Mao Zedong used a physical cleanup, plus scaring their courage to clean up his opponents, and thus completed his personal dictatorship.  Although Xi Jinping is a master of internal fighting and thick black theory, time will not wait for him, and the decisive battle will be taken in less than one year (at the 20th CCP Congress).  His choices are not so many.  Physical removal and torture, coupled with hostages and other methods, are just a great revival of the ancient tradition of autocracy.

 

But now the problem comes again.  Does Xi have the prestige and methods of Mao Zedong and Wu Zetian (the de facto ruler of the Tang dynasty)?  This is uncertain.  What is certain is that there are not many useful mediocrity around Xi, besides for bragging and flattering.  It is reported that his wife is also ready to go into politics to help her husband who failed.  She was from the artistic circles as well, so she cannot be worse than Jiang Qing (Mao’s wife who was an actress), right?

 

Even if she is the reincarnation of Jiang Qing, it will be hard as her husband is not as strong a man (as Mao Zedong).  Without the Shangfang Sword of State (representing the power of the emperor) in her hand, can she beat these old bureaucrats?  Still not certain.  What is certain is that the business of Qincheng Prison (which locks up especially high CCP officials) will be very prosperous.  So just as well to plan ahead and apply for capital to expand it now.

 

 

(This English version is translated by Ciping HUANG, without any compensation.  Wei Jingsheng and the Wei Jingsheng Foundation appreciate her decades of contribution, especially for allowing the use and distribution of her translations of these commentaries.)

 

Original link of the commentary broadcasted by Radio Free Asia:

https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/pinglun/weijingsheng/wjs-11152021082755.html

 

To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:

http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2021/WeiJS211114onCCP19thCongress6thSession.mp3

 

(Written on November 13 and recorded on November 14, 2021.  Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia on November 15, 2021.)

 

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中文版

 

Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1429-W1029

魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号:A1429-W1029

 

Release Date: November 20, 2021

发布日:20211120

 

Topic: Is the Sixth Plenary Session of the CCP 19th Congress Really That Satisfactory for Xi Jinping? -- Wei Jingsheng 

标题:习近平的六中全会真的那么如意吗? -- 魏京生

 

Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)

此号以中文为准(英文在前,中文在后)

 

如有中文乱码问题,请与我们联系或访问:

http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2021/report2021-11/WeiJS211120onCCP19thCongress6thSessionA1429-W1029.htm

 

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习近平的六中全会真的那么如意吗?

-- 魏京生

 

 

中共的六中全会结束之后,境外媒体普遍评论都倾向于习近平大获全胜,完成了更加全面的掌控,明年二十大的皇帝梦已经没有悬念了,等等。和之前的预测一样,证明这些评论家们对中国事务一贯地浮皮潦草,浅尝辄止。

 

其实习近平在六中全会前后,获得的不是唯一也是之一的党内重大妥协,就是在气候大会发表一个和美国的联合宣言。这给多年来失败的战狼外交降降温,既给了内部舆论汹汹一个妥协,也给了拜登政府一个面子。并且还获得了白宫的善意回应,可以说得了一分,脸有地方搁了。

 

至于是否能够和国际社会和平共处,那对共产党来说不是一个需要兑现承诺的问题。包括表扬自己,贬低前面几届的领导人,大家也不是那么在乎。反正公道自在人心,全党全国怎么骂你,那不是自吹自擂可以掩盖的问题。在这些虚头八脑的问题上给你个面子,争夺的是实质问题。

 

第一个实质问题,就是能源问题。全会刚结束,就有内地媒体批评:在实现减碳目标上要实事求是,记取大跃进和人民公社的教训。翻译成人话就是:别像毛泽东听信马屁科学家的忽悠,脑袋一热就亩产万斤了。你的独裁并不那么英明,关闭煤矿导致拉闸限电,已经严重影响到国计民生。这个批评很有力,你只能哑口无言。

 

习近平的这个英明的错误判断,连老天爷都不配合。今年冬天来得早,北方普降大雪。紧急开放被关闭的煤矿没有那么快,临时订购进口也没那么及时。老百姓和中央委员们,都大大体验了一把习皇帝的英明决策。反习的诸公们也不用偷着乐,可以当面攻击,让小习特没面子。这就是境外媒体所谓的大获全胜,还有什么奠定了登基的基础。

 

你说小习聪明吧,在内斗中胜出说明他不傻。可在大国领袖们的口号归口号,补贴归补贴的潮流中,他小习却傻乎乎地关闭煤矿。这就说明他的聪明用的不是地方,内斗内行,治国外行。甚至可以说是弱智。人家在大会上高喊口号的同时,敦促全球增加能源产量来保证经济。这叫鸭子划水,动静在水下。或者像印度总理那样,给足了一万亿美元援助,我就减碳。你关闭煤矿自残,也没人表扬你傻冒。

 

一叶知秋。习皇帝梦在这次会议上遭到了阻碍,应该没有问题。这从公报没有提到任期问题,就已经很明显了。上一次小习给国家主席修改了宪法,确定了无限期主席制。这一次博弈没有确立总书记无限任期制,预示着接下来的斗争会更加残酷。小习可能没办法在讲理的博弈中胜出,那就只好在肉体的斗争中扫清对手了。

 

毛泽东当年就是用肉体上扫清,外加吓破胆子来扫清对手,完成了他的个人独裁。习近平虽然是内斗厚黑学的高手,可是时间不等人,决战就在不到一年的时间里。他的选择没那么多,肉体清除和酷刑,外加人质等手段,正是对专制的古代传统的伟大复兴。

 

但是问题又来了。他有毛泽东和武则天那样的威信和手段吗?不确定。能确定的是他周围的那帮庸才,除了吹牛拍马屁,能有几个顶用的呢?有消息说他夫人也准备出马从政,襄助失败的老公了。都是文艺界出身,不比江青更差吧?

 

即使江青转世,奈何主席不给劲。夫人手中缺了尚方宝剑,能斗得过那帮老官僚吗?还是不确定。能确定的是秦城监狱的生意会非常兴隆。未雨绸缪,现在就申请资金扩建吧。

 

 

(本评论的英文版本由黄慈萍翻译。魏京生和魏京生基金会感谢她数十年来有关的无偿贡献,特别是使用和发布此译文的许可。)

 

本篇评论在自由亚洲电台的原始链接:

https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/pinglun/weijingsheng/wjs-11152021082755.html

 

相关录音:

http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2021/WeiJS211114onCCP19thCongress6thSession.mp3

 

(撰写于20211113日,录音于20211114日。自由亚洲电台20211115日播出。)

 

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