Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1408-W1011

魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1408-W1011

Release Date: August 19, 2021

发布日：2021年8月19日

Topic: Is the Situation in Afghanistan Related to Taiwan? -- Wei Jingsheng

标题：阿富汗局势和台湾有关吗？ -- 魏京生

Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)

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Is the Situation in Afghanistan Related to Taiwan?

-- Wei Jingsheng

Is the situation in Afghanistan related to Taiwan? The recent collapse of the Afghanistan government has aroused many discussions about Taiwan. In particular, the Chinese Communist media took the opportunity to hype, saying that the United States is unreliable, and Taiwan should surrender earlier. There is an old saying: Shouldn’t we stop farming, when we hear the singing of the Gryllotalpa? That's what it means. After careful analysis, it cannot be said that it is completely irrelevant.

With the all-round support of the United States, the Afghan government gave up the responsibility that a normal government should take for itself. Corruption reached its peak and was spurned by the people. In ancient China, this kind of government would also meet this kind of end, as it would collapse when it met any enemy, just like the last years of the Ming Dynasty. The United States has sacrificed a lot of money and lives for such a regime. It is really not worth it. The American people have long lost their patience. Therefore, both the Trump and Biden administrations were determined to end this absurdity where its gain is not worth the loss.

From the perspective of the Afghans, it is indeed like being abandoned by the United States. Especially for the urban middle class in Afghanistan, they are really unwilling to suddenly return to a dark rule of Islamism after the modern life under the protection of the United States. If they are allowed to choose, of course they must choose a modern life under the rule of law and freedom. Even if they believe in Islam, they are unwilling to return to the dark rule of extremism they have experienced long ago. The issue is that when the people of a country place all their hopes on the shoulders of others, will others be willing to take responsibility for their irresponsibility?

Now this is related to Taiwan. I remember that I criticized Taiwan even 20 years ago, as its whole society was permeated with a mentality of appeasement. Everyone was saying not to offend the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), otherwise it will do so and so. It was the same as the poem describe the Southern Song Dynasty, "the warm wind blew visitors drunk, and they mistook Hangzhou as Bianzhou." (Almost 900 years ago, Bianzhou was the capital of the Northern Song Dynasty until it was forced to relocate the capitol southward to Hangzhou as a temporary measure after suffering attacks of the XiXia and Liao Dynasty from the north.) If one doesn’t cultivate the spirit of resolutely resisting aggression, and if one takes courting the enemy as a self-protection strategy, the ending will be the same as for the Southern Song Dynasty, and the rest is just a matter of time.

When facing a powerful enemy, the strategy of self-protection should be on one hand to not stimulate the tiger and try to let it sleep a little longer, while on the other hand, actively prepare in case of war and strengthen self-defense ability. In particular, one must maintain a high level of vigilance and not pin one’s hopes on tigers not eating people. Israel has done a good job in this regard. All its people are soldiers, with highly vigilance and always maintaining combat effectiveness in order to deal with unpredictable enemies and emergencies. Therefore, it has been able to defeat powerful enemies many times and protect its right to survive.

So did the Song Dynasty really lack strong armed forces? It seems not so as stated in the Chinese drama. Its armed forces were no less than its enemies, the Liao Dynasty and XiXia, and there were many outstanding generals like Yue Fei. However, its public opinion was that “the warm wind blows visitors drunk”, which supported Qin Kuai and Fan Zhongyan's theory of using money in exchange for security, and did not support resistance. The result was its step-by-step walk towards the destruction. It did not decline economically even at its extinction, and it still retained a large and advanced military force at the end. The public opinion and national will of appeasement were the fundamental reason for the country's subjugation.

Since the two Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) administrations, Taiwan has greatly corrected this kind of public opinion environment that would be enough to lead to subjugation. In particular, Xi Jinping's misconduct in Hong Kong awakened most of the people in Taiwan. Resisting the CCP's infiltration and bullying in all aspects has won the support of the overwhelming majority of the people. There is not much market for appeasement, and it can no longer formulate public opinion. This is a prerequisite for Taiwan to protect itself.

President Biden and Secretary of State Blinken spoke of the truth: Any country’s foreign policy must consider its own gains and losses. It is a good quality to take a sacrifice as a hero. However, to forget one's main enemy because of minor issues, is called being stupid. Focusing on the main enemy, the CCP, is the correct choice of the last two US administrations. Without the CCP, those little accomplices would not be able to last for too many days.

So I hope that Chinese society will not be blinded by the CCP's gloat. It is necessary to support Trump and Biden's correct choice and concentrate their efforts against the evil regime of the CCP.

(This English version is translated by Ciping HUANG, without any compensation. Wei Jingsheng and the Wei Jingsheng Foundation appreciate her decades of contribution, especially for allowing the use and distribution of her translations of these commentaries.)

Original link of the commentary broadcasted by Radio Free Asia:

https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/pinglun/weijingsheng/wjs-08102021095702.html

To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:

http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2021/WeiJS210817onAfghanistanTaiwan.mp3

(Written and recorded on August 17, 2021. Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia on August 18, 2021.)

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中文版

Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1408-W1011

魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1408-W1011

Release Date: August 19, 2021

发布日：2021年8月19日

Topic: Is the Situation in Afghanistan Related to Taiwan? -- Wei Jingsheng

标题：阿富汗局势和台湾有关吗？ -- 魏京生

Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)

此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）

如有中文乱码问题，请与我们联系或访问：

http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2021/report2021-8/WeiJS210819onAfghanistanTaiwanA1408-W1011.htm

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阿富汗局势和台湾有关吗？

-- 魏京生

阿富汗局势和台湾有关吗？最近阿富汗局势的崩溃，引起很多有关台湾的议论。特别是中共的媒体趁机炒作，说美国不可靠，台湾还是早点儿投降吧。有句老话说：听剌剌蛄叫，还不种田了吗？就是这个意思。仔细分析发现，还不能说完全没有关系。

阿富汗政府在美国的全方位支持下，放弃了一个正常的政府应该对自己负起的责任，贪污腐败登峰造极，受到人民的唾弃。这样的政府在中国古代也是这个结果，遇到任何敌人都会催枯拉朽一样地崩溃，如明朝末年一样。美国为了这样一个政权牺牲了大量的金钱和生命，确实不值得。美国人民也早就不耐烦了。所以川普和拜登两届政府都下决心，要结束这件得不偿失的荒唐事。

从阿富汗人的角度来看，确实就像是被美国抛弃了。特别是阿富汗的城市中产阶级，要他们从美国保护下的现代生活，突然回到伊斯兰主义的黑暗统治下，确实非常不情愿。如果让他们选择，当然要选择自由法治的现代生活，即使信仰伊斯兰教，也不愿回到早就体验过的极端主义黑暗统治下。问题是一国人民把自己的所有希望都寄托在别人的肩膀上，别人愿不愿意为你的不负责任承担责任呢？

这就和台湾有关了。记得我从二十年前就批评台湾，整个社会弥漫着一种绥靖主义心态，大家都在说不要得罪中国共产党，否则就要如何如何了。那和南宋小朝廷一样，“暖风吹得游人醉，只把杭州作汴州”。如果不培养坚决抵抗侵略的风气，如果把讨好敌人作为自保的策略，结局也就和南宋一样，剩下的只不过是时间问题而已。

面对强大敌人自保的策略，应该一方面不去刺激那个老虎，尽量让它多睡一会儿；一面积极备战，加强自我防卫能力。特别是要保持高度警惕，不要把希望寄托在老虎不吃人上面。以色列在这方面做得很好，全民皆兵，高度警惕，时刻保持战斗力，以便应对不可预测的敌人和突发事件。所以它能够多次战胜强大的敌人，很好地保护了自己的生存权。

那宋朝就真的没有强大的武装力量了吗？好像不是戏文中说的那样。它的武装力量不亚于它的敌人辽朝和西夏，而且还有许多像岳飞这样优秀的将领。但是它的社会舆论就是暖风吹得游人醉，支持秦侩和范仲淹的金钱换安全的理论，不支持抵抗派。结果就是一步步地走向灭亡。直到灭亡它也没有在经济上衰败，仍然保有庞大而且先进的军事力量。绥靖主义的舆论和国家意志，是亡国的根本原因。

自从两届民进党政府以来，台湾大大地纠正了这种足以亡国的舆论环境。特别是习近平在香港的胡作非为，惊醒了绝大部分台湾人民。抵抗共产党在各方面的渗透和霸凌，得到了绝大多数人民的支持。绥靖主义已经很少市场，形不成舆论了。这是台湾足以自保的前提。

拜登总统和布林肯国务卿说了句实话：任何国家的外交政策都要考虑自己的利益得失。路见不平，两肋插刀是优秀的品质，但因小失大忘记自己主要的敌人，就是愚蠢了。把力量集中在主要敌人中国共产党上面，是最近两届美国政府的正确选择。没有了共产党，那些小玩儿闹就蹦达不了几天了。

所以我希望，华人社会不要被中国共产党的幸灾乐祸迷了眼。要支持川普和拜登的正确选择，集中力量对付中共这个邪恶政权。

(本评论的英文版本由黄慈萍翻译。魏京生和魏京生基金会感谢她数十年来有关的无偿贡献，特别是使用和发布此译文的许可。)

本篇评论在自由亚洲电台的原始链接：

https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/pinglun/weijingsheng/wjs-08102021095702.html