Overseas
Chinese Democracy Coalition News and Article Release Issue Number: A1610-O368
中国民主运动海外联席会议新闻与文章发布号：A1610-O368
Release Date: November
11, 2023
发布日：2023年11月11日
Topic: Our
Views on the Current Situation in China and Related Issues
-- Document released
by WEI Jingsheng, WANG Dan, WANG Juntao at the Press Conference in San
Francisco for the Congress on China’s Directions (part 1)
标题：我们关于时局的看法
-- 中国民主人权领袖魏京生、王丹、王军涛在旧金山新闻发布会上就中国“国是会议”的相关文件（之一）
Original
Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
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Our Views on
the Current Situation in China and Related Issues
-- WEI
Jingsheng, WANG Dan, WANG Juntao
At the Press
Conference in San Francisco for the Congress on China’s Directions
November 11,
2023
The death of
former Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang two weeks ago failed to trigger
large-scale protests in China, but it is building the anger and gaining
momentum. Xi Jinping's perverse
policies, from "Zero-Covid" to the economy crisis, from cleansing of
the political figures to the military circle, have not only made the Chinese
people at the middle and lower classes angry and resentful, but also the
officials and soldiers at the middle and upper classes trembling with fear and
panic every day. Can such a society
still maintain stability? Who else
can Xi Jinping bribe to be loyal to his personal dictatorship?
In terms of
China's diplomacy, it is easier for the international community that does not
understand Chinese affairs to be deceived.
In particular, the U.S. government, limited by its internal disunity and
the crisis of external wars, is prone to wishful thinking in accepting Xi
Jinping's “olive branch”, thus once again losing a historical opportunity and
creating an opportunity for the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to escape its
internal and external crises.
When Xi
Jinping first came to power, he thought he had the power to confront the United
States, with clamors of "rising of the east and falling of the west,"
“equally dividing the Pacific”, “changing the international order dominated by
the West”, and so on. It seems
quite arrogant, but that is the true thinking of Xi Jinping and some CCP
officials. It is the result of a
lack of understanding of international affairs and too much belief in the
bragging of his own people. Or it
can also be said that it is the result of one's own people deceiving
themselves. This is a normal phenomenon
under authoritarian politics where a culture of flattery prevails.
However, after
years of clamoring for the military reunification of Taiwan and being the
superpower against the United States, and years of observing international
politics and military affairs, Xi Jinping and his associates suddenly
discovered that they were not strong enough to fulfill their intended
mission. Launching a military
reunification war against Taiwan to resolve domestic conflicts within China may
be an adventure with insufficient conditions. The worst of all is the intervention of
the international community, which may lead to failure of his attempt. Therefore, implementing a strategy of
confusing the United States and temporarily easing relations in order to
achieve other goals is a deceptive method that can avoid important matters and
misguide toward trivial matters. In
Deng Xiaoping's words, to keep a low profile and wait until the difficulties
are overcome.
After 9/11,
the US government of President George W. Bush concentrated on counterterrorism
and directed most of its attention and resources to Iraq and Afghanistan,
etc. They adopted a policy of
appeasement towards the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and continued the
policies of the Clinton administration to transfuse blood and technology into
China and so on. The result is that
the CCP has finally developed into a strong opponent of the United States. The CCP has not only strengthened its
autocratic politics within China but also increased its threat to democratic
countries in the world. Its
so-called China model has become a powerful competitor to democracy and human
rights, leading to the decline of democracy globally.
This huge
strategic mistake has not been summarized by the United States and Western
democratic countries but has been well utilized and summarized by the CCP. Forced by extreme internal difficulties,
Xi Jinping wants to play Deng Xiaoping's strategy of keeping a low profile and
waiting to strike back -- once again implemented a policy of deception to ease
its external difficulties and concentrate on resolving internal conflicts.
The current
international situation seems to have given Xi Jinping an opportunity. The two wars in Europe and the Middle
East attracted the attention of American voters and political circles which
consumed huge resources. Some
scholars and politicians in Europe and the United States are eager for quick
success and will ignore Xi Jinping's huge conspiracy and its future
consequences.
If Xi
Jinping's strategic deception scheme succeeds this time, thus reducing the
CCP’s external pressure or even getting a blood transfusion economically as
during the Clinton Administration, his efforts to resolve internal difficulties
and suppression will be greatly intensified and will continue to develop for
another ten years as the CCP did after 9/11. By then, the CCP’s economic and military
strength will be equal to or even surpass that of the United States. The world situation will completely
change, and the conflict between China and the United States will not only be
limited to the economy, but also include military adventures. Xi Jinping will realize his ideal of
changing and manipulating the international order.
Some American
scholars and politicians strongly advocate the argument that the United States
cannot do without China. The fact
is that Xi Jinping is in an extreme crisis, including an economic crisis, and
China cannot do without the United States.
Compromising with Xi Jinping will not make him change his domestic and
foreign policies. The CCP will
neither stop aiding Russia nor stop aiding Iran and other terrorist
organizations. The best strategy to
force Xi to stop international adventures is to plug the loopholes of the
unfair trade with the CCP, continue to restrict the CCP’s channels for stealing
technology, and vigorously promote human rights and democracy in China, and to
force revolutionary changes within the CCP.
Anti-communist
forces and anti-Xi forces within China are growing day by day and are gradually
converging. The attention and
promotion of the international community are important conditions for moving a
step forward to overthrow autocracy and establish democracy in China. We hope that the international community
will not be deceived by Xi Jinping’s lies and make irreparable mistakes
again. Historical experience shows
that after the CCP overcomes difficulties, it will not remember and realize the
promises it once made. This will
not only be a disaster for the Chinese people, it will also endanger world
peace.
Related
newsletter:
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中文版
Overseas
Chinese Democracy Coalition News and Article Release Issue Number: A1610-O368
中国民主运动海外联席会议新闻与文章发布号：A1610-O368
Release Date:
November 11, 2023
发布日：2023年11月11日
Topic: Our
Views on the Current Situation in China and Related Issues
-- Document released
by WEI Jingsheng, WANG Dan, WANG Juntao at the Press Conference in San
Francisco for the Congress on China’s Directions (part 1)
标题：我们关于时局的看法 -- 中国民主人权领袖魏京生、王丹、王军涛在旧金山新闻发布会上就中国“国是会议”的相关文件（之一）
Original Language
Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
如有中文乱码问题，请与我们联系或访问：
-----------------------------------------------------------------
我们关于时局的看法
-- 中国民主人权领袖魏京生、王丹、王军涛在旧金山新闻发布会上就中国“国是会议”的文件（之一）
2023年11月11日
两周前，李克强前总理之死没能爆发大规模的抗议，但这是在积累愤怒，蓄势待发。习近平的倒行逆施从“清零”到经济危机，从政治到军队的大清洗，已经不仅仅使得中下层的中国人民天怒人怨，中上层的官吏和军人们也是战战兢兢，惶惶不可终日。这样的社会还可以维稳吗？他还能收买什么人来忠于他的个人独裁呢？
在中国的外交方面，不太懂中国事务的国际社会比较容易欺骗。特别是美国政府限于内部的不团结和外部战争的危机，容易一厢情愿地接受习近平的橄榄枝，因而再一次丧失历史的机遇，再一次给中国共产党创造一个逃过内外危机的机会。
习近平刚上台时自以为有和美国对抗的力量，什么“东升西降”，“平分太平洋”，“改变西方主导的国际秩序”，等等。看上去相当狂妄，但那却是他和一些中共官员的真实想法。是对国际事务缺乏理解，对自己人吹牛过于相信的结果。也可以说是自己人欺骗自己人的后果。这在盛行拍马屁文化的专制政治之下，是正常现象。
但是嚷嚷多年武统台湾和美国平分秋色，也观察了多年国际政治和军事之后，习近平和他的同伙们突然发现自己的实力，不足以担当预定的任务。对台湾发动武统战争解决国内矛盾，可能是一场条件不足的冒险。而最糟糕之处，就是国际社会的干预，这可能导致武统的失败。因此，对美国实行迷惑战略，暂时缓和关系以求达成其它目标，是一个可以避重就轻的欺骗手段。用邓小平的话说就是韬光养晦，度过难关之后再说。
在911之后，小布什总统的美国政府集中精力反恐，把注意力和资源都投向了伊拉克和阿富汗。他们对中国共产党采取了绥靖政策，并且继续了克林顿政府的政策，向中国经济输血，输送技术等等。结果就是中共终于发展到了成为美国的强劲对手。中共对国内的专制政治更加残酷，对国外的民主国家增强了威胁。其所谓中国模式，更成为民主人权的强大竞争对手，导致全球民主的衰退。
这个巨大的战略错误没有被美国和西方民主国家总结，却被中共很好地利用和总结了。习近平迫于极度的内部困境，又想玩弄邓小平的韬光养晦，再一次实行欺骗政策，缓和外部困境，集中力量解决内部矛盾。
现在的国际局势，似乎给了习近平机会。欧洲和中东的两场战争
，吸引了美国选民和政界的注意力，消耗了巨大的资源。欧美一些学者和政治家们急功近利，会忽视习近平的巨大阴谋和将来的后果。
如果这一次习近平的战略欺骗计谋成功了，得到外部压力的减轻甚至得到克林顿时期似的输血，他解决内部困境和镇压行动会大大加强，并像911之后那样再发展十年。那时，中共的经济和军事实力将会与美国持平，甚至有所超越。世界局势将会彻底改变，中美冲突将不仅仅限于经济，也将包括军事冒险。习近平将会实现他改变和操纵国际秩序的理想。
有些美国学者和政治家极力鼓吹美国离不开中国的论调。其实习近平正陷入极度的危机，包括经济危机，中国更离不开美国。向习近平妥协，也不会让他改变其国内外政策。中共既不会停止援助俄罗斯，也不会停止援助伊朗和其它恐怖组织。迫使他停止国际冒险的最好策略，就是堵住中共不公平贸易的漏洞，继续限制中共偷窃技术的渠道，并且大力推动中国的人权民主运动，迫使中共内部产生革命性的变化。
中国内部反共的势力和反习的势力正在与日俱增，并且逐渐合流。国际社会的关注和推动，是能不能在中国向前一步推翻专制，建立民主的重要条件。希望国际社会不要被习近平的谎言所欺骗，再一次犯下不可挽回的错误。历史的经验说明，中共在度过难关之后，不会记住并实现其曾经许下的诺言，这不仅对中国的老百姓是场灾难，更将危害世界和平。
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